Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f75452c4edcc5d1c02d4297378a342676fd6e6006e7876eb6e0c2688d8e52e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 4,358$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.85 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,587$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Yes | 33c | 1,021$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 867.66$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 70c | 630.33$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.1 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 74c | 520.5$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 18c | 419.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 385.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 65c | 381.32$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 23c | 357.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 80c | 295.55$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 35c | 221.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 67c | 207$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 204.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 178.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 153.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 68c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked No | 70c | 148.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 34c | 147.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 143.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 142.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 13c | 136.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 45c | 133.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 120.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 108.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 31c | 101.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 100.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 99.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…53b8backed Yes | 40c | 88.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 86.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 14c | 78.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 69c | 69.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes | 21c | 65.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 54.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 32c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 63c | 27.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 60c | 22.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…fd13backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 68c | 14.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-12?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.