Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e7dc304427c6b54ab4ca3844379d8b274d1abc245b55415de3b85bd13ac180a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Yes | 34c | 1,951$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 1,773$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.46 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 43c | 1,743$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.76 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,389$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.63 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 37c | 888$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 26c | 719.23$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 709.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 961 | 35.3%339 W · 622 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 708.16$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.26 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 545.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.72 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 539.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 32c | 525.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.89 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 37c | 495$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 442.67$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.26 | 1,724 | 36.5%629 W · 1,095 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 39c | 353.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.83 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 38c | 331$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.22 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 318.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.87 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 305.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 273.18$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 17c | 239.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 35c | 201.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 66c | 196.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 65c | 190$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 67c | 177.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 162.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 854 | 47.9%409 W · 445 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 65c | 160.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 27c | 154.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 36c | 142.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 55c | 130.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 33c | 129.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 40c | 101.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 79c | 100.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 51c | 91.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 1,116 | 41.6%464 W · 652 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 61c | 90.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 19c | 89.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 315 | 49.8%157 W · 158 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 85.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 75.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 838 | 53.7%450 W · 388 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 35c | 73.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 66c | 68.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 62c | 60.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 429 | 50.8%218 W · 211 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Yes | 72c | 60.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 33c | 43.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 60c | 40.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 1,537 | 35.1%540 W · 997 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 41c | 36.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626c…9d3cbacked Yes | 34c | 34.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 64c | 33.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 46c | 31.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 27.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 785 | 55.7%437 W · 348 L | +38.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 349 | 59.9%209 W · 140 L | +49.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 69c | 25.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 64c | 16.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-12?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.