South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1fdbe6119bfa14a56e188fa7b89b2b2c778365119293376ad976579fbd8c01c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 10,358$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…5771backed Over | 60c | 5,713$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 5,258$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 4,504$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.95 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 48c | 2,923$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.03 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 41c | 1,965$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 41c | 1,356$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.72 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 541.09$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 375.7$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 62c | 353.26$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 38c | 299.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 280.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 43c | 234.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 63c | 192.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 59c | 165.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 62c | 153.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 76c | 119.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 119$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 54c | 117.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 98.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Under | 43c | 91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 62c | 89.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…84fbbacked Under | 51c | 65.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…be88backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 55c | 62.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 43c | 57.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 56.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 63c | 52.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 48c | 52.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 58c | 51.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 48c | 45.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 61c | 44.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…b885backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 60c | 33.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…a836backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 62c | 29.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Over | 50c | 25.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 22.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Under | 69c | 21.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 59c | 20.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-2.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.