South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77644b7f0224c4f9ea5dbad6b4afe0383d2ba08e36e016a329e3b5772e6ea611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 55c | 1,957$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.63 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,732$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 45c | 1,621$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.38 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 758.24$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 744.2$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 342.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…1517backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 45c | 147.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…0508backed Yes | 46c | 108.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 84.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 57.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed No | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 58c | 42.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 44c | 40.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 31.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 75c | 14.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-2.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.