TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
New York Metsof New York Mets, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,063 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets22c4,791$1,054 inWon+$3,737.0622047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers77c3,593$2,760 inLost-$2,760.0812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets53c832.44$441 inWon+$391.2511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers47c803.74$378 inLost-$377.763,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers78c300$234 inLost-$2348,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers78c288.74$225 inLost-$225.223,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Detroit Tigers78c206.65$161 inLost-$161.1929354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers78c124.28$97 inLost-$96.941,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09cf…f2c4backed Detroit Tigers78c98.4$77 inLost-$76.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Mets65c96$62 inWon+$33.61,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Detroit Tigers62c46.25$29 inLost-$28.5227354.6%149 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Detroit Tigers69c43.48$30 inLost-$29.866248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed35…84fbbacked Detroit Tigers78c33.88$26 inLost-$26.431050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers36c27.78$10 inLost-$1084122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Detroit Tigers74c26.4$20 inLost-$19.542,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Detroit Tigers77c26$20 inLost-$20.021,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Detroit Tigers78c25.51$20 inLost-$19.932550.5%164 W · 161 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Mets62c24.31$15 inWon+$9.131,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Detroit Tigers78c20.63$16 inLost-$16.0958054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed Detroit Tigers78c19.23$15 inLost-$151315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-65.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Detroit Tigers78c15.38$12 inLost-$122133.3%7 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Detroit Tigers78c13.74$11 inLost-$10.721,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3443…64e9backed Detroit Tigers78c13.34$10 inLost-$10.417080%56 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.