MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11fdbd8fc89c31ed6b9da58c589ee6c28ad52c5949dddd8d38481ac8ca06f646

Rebuilt 36 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over	42c	2,784$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,621.15	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	42c	2,103$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.57	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	45c	1,916$853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.37	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	53c	1,570$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.19	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under	59c	1,212$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.79	883	49.3%435 W · 448 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	1,090$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.02	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	41c	1,080$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.12	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under	56c	1,079$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.65	552	53.1%293 W · 259 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under	57c	1,077$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.7	469	46.3%217 W · 252 L	-25.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under	58c	1,040$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.96	575	51.7%297 W · 278 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	49c	818.17$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.18	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under	2c	750$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	83	4.8%4 W · 79 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	58c	742.15$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.2	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	55c	637$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.35	274	49.3%135 W · 139 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under	61c	374.92$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	59c	373.54$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.95	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+11.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	58c	364.83$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.47	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	45c	364.49$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.58	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	42c	344.54$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.4	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	62c	325.08$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.87	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under	34c	281.14$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.76	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	41c	201.49$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.32	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	58c	177.43$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.91	454	51.3%233 W · 221 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under	43c	175.43$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.18	1,149	48.9%562 W · 587 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	37c	174.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.25	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	46c	151.78$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.64	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over	40c	125$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	213	53.5%114 W · 99 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	60c	125$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	56c	124.85$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.92	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	34c	123.77$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.08	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	60c	91.58$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.35	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	67c	86.03$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.15	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over	64c	78.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.34	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over	64c	78.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.34	131	44.3%58 W · 73 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over	66c	76.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.16	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Over	66c	76.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.16	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over	66c	76.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.15	185	47.6%88 W · 97 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	54c	70.73$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.38	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7790…427abacked Under	59c	65.75$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under	61c	65.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over	44c	61.15$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.24	1,014	47.7%484 W · 530 L	-28.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over	44c	61.14$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.96	246	54.9%135 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over	42c	51.72$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	330	32.7%108 W · 222 L	-22.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Under	64c	46.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under	57c	46.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Over	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over	66c	45.59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.49	371	43.9%163 W · 208 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under	57c	43.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	44c	43.51$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.37	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Under	27c	41.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	65c	39.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.94	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	78c	34.98$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.66	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Under	59c	34.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	50c	30.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	50c	30.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eae…8c33backed Under	57c	30.37$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	57c	29.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.99	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	79c	29.75$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.25	1,728	50.4%871 W · 857 L	+57.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ecc…f975backed Under	57c	28.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Under	51c	27.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	69c	27.13$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	486	53.7%261 W · 225 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaec…7855backed Under	57c	26.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc875…3005backed Under	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over	46c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	348	43.4%151 W · 197 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under	57c	24.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	253	56.9%144 W · 109 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	55c	23.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	63c	22.71$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	2,546	45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L	-74.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Under	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under	59c	19.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	231	56.7%131 W · 100 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under	57c	18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53db…480ebacked Under	57c	18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event