MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd388a49e45c5ac286f552c3cf8c6c23aaefc787644dad7f97f7d099c1be43379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 150,000$79,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,461.24 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 47c | 119,147$55,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,147.91 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…6022backed Over | 49c | 112,767$55,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,262.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 56,896$27,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,772 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Under | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 47c | 22,326$10,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,832.78 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 13,583$7,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.43 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 12,721$7,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,594.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 10,878$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,656.56 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 10,800$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.74 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 54c | 10,783$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.96 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 6,585$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 5,510$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.02 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Over | 51c | 4,856$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.51 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 46c | 4,471$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.43 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…76cbbacked Over | 47c | 4,254$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 3,969$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 48c | 3,803$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 2,329$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.08 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 52c | 2,058$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.62 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 54c | 1,746$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.76 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 1,700$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Over | 47c | 1,541$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 1,520$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.79 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,478$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 1,470$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.34 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 1,280$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.57 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 49c | 1,176$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.68 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 1,001$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 54c | 717.07$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 687.8$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 685.46$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.59 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 53c | 667.82$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 47c | 667.01$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.61 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 64c | 651.28$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 637.82$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.29 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 26c | 633.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 588.06$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 51c | 565.63$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 62c | 537.28$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.26 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 513.08$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 50c | 500.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 70c | 474.9$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 457.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 455.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.06 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 449.41$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 438$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 435.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 49c | 416.39$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 395.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Over | 47c | 387.89$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…e6d5backed Over | 53c | 358.64$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 54c | 342.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 49c | 335$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 68c | 333.73$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 52c | 332.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.11 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Under | 54c | 327.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 53c | 325.59$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 52c | 308.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 41c | 295.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 54c | 292.65$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 52c | 267.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Over | 47c | 263$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Under | 54c | 244.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 54c | 241.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Under | 52c | 208$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 31c | 206.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 47c | 199.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 50c | 199.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Under | 54c | 197.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 49c | 195.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 31c | 183.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 54c | 182.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Under | 54c | 180.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 34c | 164.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 54c | 149.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 142.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 108$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.