Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefe81244098835481a5b2c51856beb3d5eaf4d23d66b73256bbfd0572c7ba259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cameroonof Cameroon, Mali
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mali | 13c | 4,665$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.67 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Mali | 17c | 3,807$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Mali | 20c | 2,044$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mali | 7c | 1,747$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Mali | 4c | 1,512$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645b…1185backed Cameroon | 78c | 1,285$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Mali | 15c | 1,088$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mali | 9c | 1,042$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Mali | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d697backed Mali | 17c | 970.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mali | 17c | 952.04$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Mali | 13c | 921$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mali | 17c | 738.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mali | 15c | 655.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mali | 17c | 540$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Mali | 19c | 501.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mali | 18c | 408.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mali | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…32cdbacked Mali | 6c | 362.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Mali | 17c | 189.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mali | 11c | 154$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…7127backed Cameroon | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Mali | 15c | 120.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mali | 17c | 114.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Mali | 19c | 88.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Mali | 17c | 73.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Mali | 18c | 64.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Cameroon | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed Cameroon | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7f60backed Cameroon | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…1a3ebacked Cameroon | 79c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2a…45adbacked Cameroon | 79c | 15.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…f39cbacked Cameroon | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.