MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0576c48486a825460c35efc137f724c99c01acfcc369d6c77a7405a3c3541b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed LG Twins | 53c | 467.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 51c | 352.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…32cdbacked LG Twins | 43c | 303.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 255$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LG Twins | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed LG Twins | 53c | 220.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed LG Twins | 54c | 201.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 199.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 169.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 160.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 11c | 130.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 130.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 51c | 129.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 121.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Samsung Lions | 74c | 109$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked LG Twins | 53c | 107.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 100.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed LG Twins | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 88.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked LG Twins | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 65.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 52c | 63.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 63.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 61.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 61.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked LG Twins | 51c | 58.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed LG Twins | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 53c | 52.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked LG Twins | 53c | 52.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed LG Twins | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed LG Twins | 55c | 48.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed LG Twins | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 41.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 50c | 40.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…367fbacked LG Twins | 53c | 40.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked LG Twins | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 48c | 39.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 52c | 36.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked LG Twins | 51c | 35.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed LG Twins | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…24fabacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked LG Twins | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed LG Twins | 52c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…8255backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.