TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No65c31,786$20,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,099.828,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes34c27,530$9,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,292.852,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No66c11,180$7,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.6475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Yes38c6,580$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.39560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c5,690$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7075,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes30c5,362$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.0821132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes26c4,875$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.433444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c4,583$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.071,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c3,417$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.611,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes39c3,250$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.58321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked No64c2,620$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.21275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes36c2,382$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.5812434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No61c2,381$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.6723549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No61c1,873$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.1242250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes40c1,817$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.292240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes41c1,756$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes40c1,574$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6309148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c1,553$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.711,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Yes40c1,317$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.81764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84bf…f543backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes41c813.47$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c811.15$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.191,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c768.76$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.091,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Yes25c759.27$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes42c757.82$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.8951945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes38c755.17$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.24141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes43c748.93$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.047034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No61c697.98$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.891,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No67c626.8$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.125866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Yes41c609.75$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.33348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Yes41c609.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c600.13$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.121,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c546.72$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.191,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No60c509.7$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.211,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes38c495$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.17047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Yes41c494.15$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.023458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30fd…783cbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f77…32cdbacked Yes41c472.51$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes41c463.41$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes33c386.76$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4926745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…1c3fbacked Yes36c381.3$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.271850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes35c367.28$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.913831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c1…3aa5backed Yes41c351.28$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes39c310.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b03…a080backed Yes44c285.68$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No61c280$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No65c273.02$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7557540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes37c247.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6211657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e35…29a3backed Yes37c238.49$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No70c227$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1222853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes33c212.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1910827.8%30 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes41c208.72$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.354040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c203.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.551,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…ee8cbacked Yes39c174.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No59c173.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No63c172.44$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.351758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c170.95$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.383,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes28c168$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9316262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes42c163.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.126230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed No76c151.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes37c147.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No62c143.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes39c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes38c130.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.548057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No65c124.73$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5533365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes41c122.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.66144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes43c117.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.612744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes44c109.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.335143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes39c108.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.384346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes20c107.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7748547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3db…c173backed Yes41c104.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.033040%12 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc79c…5709backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes40c102.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes41c102.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbee9…3143backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Yes43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No61c91.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8724956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Yes42c91.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.187454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba23…6c72backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Yes41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.84452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.213465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed No66c79.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes38c79.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.