Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Maria Timofeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe454b90584ab8813f07f7e5bf41b3ff9418e9cda5f51ab0fcec53b898767e6ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elise Mertensof Elise Mertens, Maria Timofeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elise Mertens | 68c | 23,952$16,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.77 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Maria Timofeeva | 33c | 16,975$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.9 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Timofeeva | 38c | 9,288$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.73 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Timofeeva | 20c | 9,127$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.64 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Elise Mertens | 59c | 8,181$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.42 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -20.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elise Mertens | 64c | 5,852$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.17 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Maria Timofeeva | 51c | 5,200$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Elise Mertens | 70c | 5,143$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.86 | 344 | 57.6%198 W · 146 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Maria Timofeeva | 23c | 4,739$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.65 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 41c | 4,290$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.18 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Maria Timofeeva | 42c | 3,261$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.88 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Elise Mertens | 68c | 3,177$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.54 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Elise Mertens | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elise Mertens | 66c | 2,773$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.19 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Elise Mertens | 67c | 2,687$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.57 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Maria Timofeeva | 67c | 2,623$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.09 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Elise Mertens | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 270 | 53.3%144 W · 126 L | -16.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Maria Timofeeva | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 743 | 43.7%325 W · 418 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Elise Mertens | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 365 | 38.4%140 W · 225 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Maria Timofeeva | 36c | 1,512$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.65 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Elise Mertens | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Elise Mertens | 79c | 1,349$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.29 | 598 | 52.7%315 W · 283 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…f6b5backed Elise Mertens | 59c | 1,330$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Maria Timofeeva | 21c | 1,303$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elise Mertens | 58c | 1,280$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.52 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Maria Timofeeva | 63c | 1,246$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.47 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…4fc4backed Elise Mertens | 65c | 1,207$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Maria Timofeeva | 64c | 1,161$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.6 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Elise Mertens | 75c | 1,148$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 1,764 | 46.8%826 W · 938 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Elise Mertens | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Maria Timofeeva | 67c | 1,053$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.25 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Maria Timofeeva | 13c | 1,030$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elise Mertens | 78c | 1,030$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Maria Timofeeva | 31c | 1,020$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.16 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Maria Timofeeva | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…ebe1backed Elise Mertens | 41c | 978.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.92 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Elise Mertens | 77c | 931.95$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 441 | 51.9%229 W · 212 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed Elise Mertens | 79c | 930$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Maria Timofeeva | 38c | 896.95$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Maria Timofeeva | 22c | 886.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…5678backed Maria Timofeeva | 39c | 860$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Maria Timofeeva | 47c | 859.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Elise Mertens | 34c | 838.24$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.24 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Elise Mertens | 66c | 815.56$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Maria Timofeeva | 38c | 800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 43.1%261 W · 345 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Elise Mertens | 50c | 794.68$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.34 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maria Timofeeva | 44c | 784.59$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.33 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Maria Timofeeva | 4c | 772.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Elise Mertens | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Elise Mertens | 61c | 766.8$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.82 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Maria Timofeeva | 41c | 761.72$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…1e73backed Elise Mertens | 64c | 739.06$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Maria Timofeeva | 48c | 734.34$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.19 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Maria Timofeeva | 21c | 701.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700d…3be2backed Maria Timofeeva | 38c | 698.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Maria Timofeeva | 61c | 650.15$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.59 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Elise Mertens | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Elise Mertens | 62c | 645$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Elise Mertens | 39c | 606.35$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.93 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Timofeeva | 39c | 560.58$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.53 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Elise Mertens | 62c | 538.73$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maria Timofeeva | 42c | 538.51$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Maria Timofeeva | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Maria Timofeeva | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 887 | 49.8%442 W · 445 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3c12backed Elise Mertens | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Elise Mertens | 72c | 439.04$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Maria Timofeeva | 20c | 405.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Elise Mertens | 55c | 392.24$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Maria Timofeeva | 62c | 374.61$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 449 | 50.8%228 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Elise Mertens | 43c | 374.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.31 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Maria Timofeeva | 64c | 373.25$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…e1f9backed Maria Timofeeva | 38c | 344$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Elise Mertens | 66c | 333.13$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 378 | 66.4%251 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Elise Mertens | 36c | 319.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Elise Mertens | 66c | 310$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Elise Mertens | 58c | 309.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…3dcabacked Elise Mertens | 65c | 305.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…f1c5backed Elise Mertens | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Maria Timofeeva | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,842 | 44.6%822 W · 1,020 L | -15.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Elise Mertens | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Maria Timofeeva | 40c | 282.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Maria Timofeeva | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…b911backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 276.6$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Elise Mertens | 38c | 254.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 172 | 57%98 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Elise Mertens | 79c | 253.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Maria Timofeeva | 21c | 247.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elise Mertens | 66c | 247.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Maria Timofeeva | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Elise Mertens | 56c | 234.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +19.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Elise Mertens | 69c | 227.51$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 874 | 50.6%442 W · 432 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Elise Mertens | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Elise Mertens | 68c | 220.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Elise Mertens | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elise Mertens | 79c | 206.18$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Timofeeva | 58c | 204.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Maria Timofeeva | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 668 | 30.5%204 W · 464 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Elise Mertens | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…4575backed Elise Mertens | 51c | 184.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Maria Timofeeva | 42c | 183.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 21c | 179.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Maria Timofeevathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs TimofeevaTimofeeva won
- Set 2 Winner: Mertens vs TimofeevaMertens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.