Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d06dfc755a0b82a6b7b9171678b4d5e0040ea41ea55600a61289295d7c0fe45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riddleof Riddle, IGZIST
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf61…58dbbacked IGZIST | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Riddle | 54c | 4,514$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.86 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed IGZIST | 16c | 2,372$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Riddle | 66c | 2,315$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.75 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed IGZIST | 10c | 1,923$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.36 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Riddle | 59c | 1,869$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.78 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed IGZIST | 50c | 1,597$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked IGZIST | 21c | 1,533$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.72 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…f6b5backed Riddle | 75c | 1,490$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked IGZIST | 42c | 927.34$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.53 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked IGZIST | 32c | 913.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked IGZIST | 55c | 877.71$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Riddle | 67c | 824.72$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.59 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed IGZIST | 31c | 733.45$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Riddle | 50c | 530.97$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Riddle | 66c | 509.88$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed IGZIST | 42c | 466.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Riddle | 50c | 402.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked IGZIST | 65c | 319.28$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.97 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked IGZIST | 29c | 303.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Riddle | 76c | 240.43$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Riddle | 59c | 224.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Riddle | 66c | 210.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Riddle | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed IGZIST | 26c | 196.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Riddle | 65c | 180.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Riddle | 61c | 159$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Riddle | 69c | 123.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Riddle | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Riddle | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Riddle | 66c | 105.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Riddle | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Riddle | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Riddle | 65c | 96.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed IGZIST | 22c | 95.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed IGZIST | 37c | 89.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Riddle | 65c | 80.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Riddle | 63c | 66.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…f5cabacked IGZIST | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked IGZIST | 22c | 65.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed IGZIST | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Riddle | 27c | 59.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Riddle | 55c | 54.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…0d57backed Riddle | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked Riddle | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed IGZIST | 37c | 40.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Riddle | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked IGZIST | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…8b41backed Riddle | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed Riddle | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…b1d4backed Riddle | 72c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed IGZIST | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Riddle | 64c | 24.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Riddle | 62c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals PlayoffsIGZIST won
- Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 1 WinnerIGZIST won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.