Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x911cba0216b43eac551799efd972fcedc620ff5c9bbd4496cd9ff3363152b5ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IGZISTof Riddle, IGZIST
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2775…3652backed Riddle | 30c | 1,211$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.65 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Riddle | 17c | 923.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Riddle | 2c | 572.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -92%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Riddle | 13c | 490$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed IGZIST | 51c | 357.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Riddle | 15c | 345.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked IGZIST | 49c | 285.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Riddle | 35c | 267.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Riddle | 65c | 184.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Riddle | 8c | 178.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Riddle | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed IGZIST | 38c | 134$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Riddle | 22c | 121$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Riddle | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked IGZIST | 76c | 96.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed IGZIST | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked IGZIST | 69c | 72.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Riddle | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed IGZIST | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Riddle | 41c | 49.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed IGZIST | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked IGZIST | 70c | 40.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Riddle | 59c | 35.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked IGZIST | 29c | 34.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Riddle | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked IGZIST | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Riddle | 72c | 14.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals PlayoffsIGZIST won
- Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 2 WinnerRiddle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.