Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560f108898bdfc183b8f381ccf0fdba819ecb37fe650390daaba5470c2dfd149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 17,510$10,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,633.52 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 15,612$8,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350.47 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 10c | 6,444$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.61 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked XLG Gaming | 17c | 1,939$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.78 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 1,663$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.02 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 18c | 1,421$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…5f4abacked XLG Gaming | 7c | 1,389$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 1,316$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.14 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 1,274$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 1,171$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.71 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 1,164$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 790.12$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.06 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 759.19$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 741.67$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed XLG Gaming | 18c | 645$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked XLG Gaming | 18c | 639$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 609.02$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 19c | 565.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed XLG Gaming | 6c | 561.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 553.57$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 535$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked XLG Gaming | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed XLG Gaming | 12c | 499$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 24c | 489.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked XLG Gaming | 39c | 429.27$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked XLG Gaming | 21c | 391.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 12c | 384$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 356.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…ca45backed XLG Gaming | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming | 20c | 337$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 262$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 260.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming | 17c | 256.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked XLG Gaming | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed XLG Gaming | 18c | 246.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked XLG Gaming | 61c | 242.7$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed XLG Gaming | 17c | 241$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked XLG Gaming | 18c | 236$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed XLG Gaming | 17c | 226.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked XLG Gaming | 67c | 222.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed XLG Gaming | 6c | 213.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 210.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 200.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked XLG Gaming | 15c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked XLG Gaming | 27c | 196.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed XLG Gaming | 12c | 170.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked XLG Gaming | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked XLG Gaming | 8c | 144$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked XLG Gaming | 15c | 137.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 129.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 119.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…a55fbacked XLG Gaming | 15c | 113$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed XLG Gaming | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 110.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 105.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed XLG Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming | 23c | 99.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 97.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 91.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked XLG Gaming | 61c | 82.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 79.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked XLG Gaming | 26c | 78.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked XLG Gaming | 25c | 74.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed XLG Gaming | 48c | 62.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked XLG Gaming | 38c | 62.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…38d9backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 60.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 59.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21c…1a43backed Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 55.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 55.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…8af2backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 43.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 40.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…e023backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 35.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…513dbacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.