TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TYLOOof TYLOO, Nova Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f0e…0200backed Nova Esports52c3,811$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Nova Esports35c3,020$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.9932245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked TYLOO51c2,078$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.4728743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed TYLOO72c1,527$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.442556%14 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked TYLOO48c1,451$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.5212652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TYLOO56c1,380$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.311,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed TYLOO48c1,340$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed TYLOO49c1,225$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62534857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedde…0e96backed Nova Esports50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Nova Esports52c1,112$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.188144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Nova Esports35c1,082$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.74647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Nova Esports53c999.98$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.996541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nova Esports50c822.57$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2955152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Nova Esports50c799.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TYLOO48c713.33$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.1360154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed TYLOO47c638.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2917948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TYLOO46c607.38$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9826738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed TYLOO74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15625245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed TYLOO49c596.9$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.428357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed TYLOO47c581.28$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.0853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Nova Esports51c565$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1528252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nova Esports26c519.26$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0154342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Nova Esports51c499.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9924946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Nova Esports43c463.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked Nova Esports49c407.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed TYLOO49c399.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TYLOO69c353.77$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.171,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Nova Esports47c348.5$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5239646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed TYLOO55c345.74$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8816033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75cf…be46backed Nova Esports39c343.75$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TYLOO62c335.8$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.011,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed TYLOO73c320$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.18481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15fa…f856backed TYLOO63c319.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44165.9%27 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Nova Esports50c314.94$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.472634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed TYLOO73c300.63$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1725554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Nova Esports28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8414750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Nova Esports50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed TYLOO47c263.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed TYLOO47c254.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0118641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Nova Esports52c249.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9925347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked TYLOO79c220.13$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0212862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed TYLOO56c217.43$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.646326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed TYLOO51c216.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9734253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked TYLOO62c214.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5740254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed TYLOO49c203.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4219847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed TYLOO57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.992763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Nova Esports51c195.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9619655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Nova Esports29c194.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.273647.2%17 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed Nova Esports53c189.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TYLOO62c186.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.881,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Nova Esports41c178.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x366e…cb0cbacked TYLOO61c174.02$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.277661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f1…2fa5backed Nova Esports44c150.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed TYLOO57c143.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0915147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nova Esports35c135$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3257151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2edf…f14fbacked Nova Esports58c121.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nova Esports30c121$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7677744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Nova Esports22c119.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Nova Esports44c117.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2710555.2%58 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked TYLOO68c109.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.671,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked TYLOO47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.184946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed TYLOO60c105$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.521454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed Nova Esports51c100.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.176535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef9a…f58dbacked TYLOO47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.93467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6a9…769ebacked TYLOO47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…afdabacked Nova Esports53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3657…a0a7backed Nova Esports53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Nova Esports50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TYLOO54c99.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.291,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TYLOO62c97.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed TYLOO47c96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.881850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed Nova Esports28c93.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nova Esports34c88.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1811149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked TYLOO50c87.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6316839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e3…2216backed TYLOO49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.634673.9%34 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TYLOO64c81.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4188844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Nova Esports28c80.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6217557.1%100 W · 75 L+15.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked TYLOO48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.620347.3%96 W · 107 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Nova Esports39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.26536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22bc…a20fbacked Nova Esports51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc714…0566backed Nova Esports42c78.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.922846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf376…9d11backed TYLOO50c76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x085f…7a21backed Nova Esports52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed Nova Esports52c74.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.887656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nova Esports30c74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9274642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Nova Esports28c73.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6912640.5%51 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed TYLOO46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed TYLOO65c67.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5426932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed TYLOO68c65.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.073852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TYLOO60c65.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.293049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed TYLOO48c63.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.128744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Nova Esports35c62.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6614959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Nova Esports42c61.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6810846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66d5…ee81backed Nova Esports53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x195a…f955backed TYLOO47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.83470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Nova Esports52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.225146.6%117 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd565…d785backed Nova Esports52c55.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.657352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed TYLOO48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.088134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc28b…3683backed Nova Esports29c52.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Nova Esports32c50.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0715334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.