Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f83a02e0e2ed0131d3a1fc23a2228fd82489d4dd5fa513b359dd6bce59dc74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Haigang FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Shanghai Haigang FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 6,274$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.21 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 36c | 2,842$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 63c | 1,216$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.99 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 1,162$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.08 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 31c | 1,112$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.41 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 63c | 844.92$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.37 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 68c | 524.39$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 12c | 479.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 451.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 420.6$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 26c | 411.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 59c | 349.66$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 347$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…6049backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 325.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 68c | 264$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 21c | 213.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 33c | 192.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 66c | 161.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 41c | 102.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 63c | 100.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…e4febacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 99.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 87.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 36c | 81.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 68c | 53.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 41c | 50.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 60c | 50.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 74c | 39.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 64c | 36.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…dcecbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 41c | 31.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 65c | 30.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 64c | 26.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 68c | 25.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 67c | 18.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 76c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.