Asian League · resolved market

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62d078576e30f8258e50dacc3a7c3edf56ca1cc55d921b125f41c8dda1062fff

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,711 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over	38c	15,585$5,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,988.47	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	53c	6,624$3,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,110.55	2,522	42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L	+54.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	53c	6,599$3,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,116.61	5,946	46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	16c	6,246$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,245.61	95	26.3%25 W · 70 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over	34c	4,546$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.08	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over	59c	3,599$2,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,121.58	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	35c	3,566$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,317.61	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	-9.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	60c	3,462$2,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.92	693	52.2%362 W · 331 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over	52c	1,784$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.1	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	48c	1,070$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.32	1,356	45.5%617 W · 739 L	+15.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	45c	883.15$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	151	19.2%29 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	65c	737.32$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.73	2,491	40%997 W · 1,494 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	73c	684.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	63c	560.99$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.02	158	26.6%42 W · 116 L	-13.5wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	62c	506.45$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.81	304	64.8%197 W · 107 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	28c	499.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	174	40.2%70 W · 104 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over	49c	499.99$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	58c	499.11$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.49	1,522	54.9%835 W · 687 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	42c	373.21$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.89	2,424	38%920 W · 1,504 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Under	56c	357.23$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.23	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+118%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	49c	329.01$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.75	1,647	36.2%596 W · 1,051 L	-34.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8a…93ddbacked Over	56c	307.52$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	226	42.5%96 W · 130 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	60c	299.98$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.99	115	46.1%53 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	25c	280$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	770	56.2%433 W · 337 L	+40.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Under	40c	246.01$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.01	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over	61c	193.9$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.79	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	+116%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aea…34b7backed Over	52c	192.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over	52c	188.46$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over	57c	175.43$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over	8c	170.36$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over	75c	134$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over	62c	129.57$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.13	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.39per pick	59cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under	50c	109.45$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.73	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	150	35.3%53 W · 97 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Over	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Under	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	108	27.8%30 W · 78 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	45c	91.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.82	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under	60c	81.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.43	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	70c	78.57$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-5.7wins	-0.16per pick	70cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x153a…212dbacked Over	45c	77.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	44c	72.15$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	1,063	42%446 W · 617 L	-12.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…344fbacked Over	36c	66.11$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	54c	62.6$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.59	892	45%401 W · 491 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under	59c	61.53$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.53	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	50c	61.16$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	324	57.1%185 W · 139 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	25c	61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.25	345	60%207 W · 138 L	+49.3wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over	36c	51.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.61	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b4…87bfbacked Under	42c	50.88$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.51	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-8.8wins	-0.28per pick	59cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c83…8380backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under	52c	48.83$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.58	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-8.3wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-25%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	62c	43.67$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.72	159	71.1%113 W · 46 L	+15.5wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d62…49c5backed Over	48c	39.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	66c	39.14$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	478	60.3%288 W · 190 L	+15.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	65c	38.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	116	61.2%71 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over	44c	37.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	65c	36.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	471	55.8%263 W · 208 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over	55c	36.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under	41c	33.03$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.38	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Over	62c	31.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under	37c	30.52$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.37	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	61c	29.9$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.81	390	58.2%227 W · 163 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	52c	26.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over	55c	26.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed Over	45c	26.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb44…cdc0backed Under	53c	22.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	63c	20.48$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	166	59.6%99 W · 67 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Over	80c	20.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	4	75%3 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	75cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb11…73f2backed Under	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	67c	18.97$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.33	154	70.8%109 W · 45 L	+16.1wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under	67c	18.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.07	42	73.8%31 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	72cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	80c	17.38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.48	1,309	56.8%743 W · 566 L	+66.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under	62c	16.97$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.47	30	80%24 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over	75c	15.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over	71c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	80	67.5%54 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.25per pick	54cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5this page
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event