Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa49598f258570a8df33d4f021a5da9a25f57e0ce44f182ffccf1db6e0463911e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 14,945$8,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.72 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 36c | 14,535$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,171.03 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 10c | 4,408$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 60c | 3,666$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.34 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 11c | 1,780$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 51c | 905.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.98 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 23c | 581.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 23c | 471.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 64c | 461.77$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 392.13$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 373.43$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 66c | 330.3$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 44c | 327.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 65c | 321.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 9c | 279$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 231$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 67c | 224.75$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…ed3dbacked Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…f0d9backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 172.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 34c | 159.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Over | 66c | 151.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 62c | 141$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 61c | 128.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 10c | 103.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 51c | 100.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 71c | 75.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 67c | 74.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 66c | 69.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 67c | 61.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 40c | 49.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 37.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 35c | 33.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 65c | 29.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 29.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…8c46backed Under | 76c | 24.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 65c | 24.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 65c | 22.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 61c | 18.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Under | 71c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.