Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1bff9411f3b5d05d8f8281169abf619e00abef5ec54f9b7877c8af621092f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 49c | 3,011$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.06 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 2,052$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.64 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 64c | 625.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 59c | 618.11$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.42 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 61c | 597$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 400.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 54c | 381.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 376.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed No | 76c | 264.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 46c | 169.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 40c | 148.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 54c | 107.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 97.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 61c | 83.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…ae7ebacked Yes | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 71.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 63.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 38c | 52.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 61c | 46.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 38c | 31.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 59c | 27.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff4…c45cbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.