TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31c1…7047backed No72c10,730$7,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.144658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c3,754$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.841,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c3,624$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.841,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No66c2,369$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c2,106$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5932,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,387$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.975,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes55c1,307$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.161,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes41c833.52$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.311,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No58c714.22$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.863666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No61c680$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26319158.6%112 W · 79 L+19.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No31c635.9$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.171145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No79c603.33$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.673928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes38c600$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8923546.8%110 W · 125 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No59c523.24$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1562349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9920138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes40c380$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15223347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48a…3594backed No61c320.9$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1621941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes42c296.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6193446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No72c285.4$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5520132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes13c256.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5149044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes35c226.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0516759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes41c216.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2153148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes42c216$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7218353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes23c209.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1129425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes41c203.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.811,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c189.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9584347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No58c155.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.171758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No28c140$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes35c137.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9122656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes36c137.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7219055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe032…410ebacked Yes18c128$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.642356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes40c126.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4130049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No54c125.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3514557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No48c111.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.066847.1%32 W · 36 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No44c110.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2339058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No58c109.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No64c107.61$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0347860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No64c107.61$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0316356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes36c101.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.977356.2%41 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No50c97.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9434558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed No27c74.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.733132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No59c71.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.229859.2%58 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No59c71.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2210160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No59c71.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.227466.2%49 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19c3…8525backed No61c71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No57c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.522748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.95060%30 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes35c59.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5413349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a48…3e67backed Yes62c57.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c56.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.291,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No44c56.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4973850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No59c55.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb468…0cbabacked Yes41c55.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.381250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3720…a4c9backed Yes57c52.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes57c52.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0215068%102 W · 48 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No59c51.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2732560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb71…b5a0backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes41c50.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes23c49.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2148867.8%331 W · 157 L+68.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No73c47.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.811,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes38c46.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No60c42.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.18864.8%57 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c40.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4282053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No78c39.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.677056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes32c33.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf54…1a62backed No61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215461.1%33 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1216746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed No58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628464.8%184 W · 100 L+29.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No70c29.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.026434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af3…a37abacked Yes38c27.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3267…da9ebacked Yes41c27.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No59c21.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911853.4%63 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No71c18.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1637759.4%224 W · 153 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.