Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10c389cd5144a3a71b9aeef2979df2b68d029b6b48553841fe5c4b43f891f57b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Hainiu FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,436 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 58c | 5,862$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 2,863$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.56 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 1,369$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.28 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 871.15$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.69 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 43c | 521.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.47 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…29a7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 344$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe240…eff5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 339$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 328$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 54c | 279.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…3304backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 275$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…f825backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 257$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…5a6dbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 251$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…4b2abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 247$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…ea7bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 242$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…de59backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 236$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 53c | 225$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa155…3414backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 215$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 18c | 211.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…03e0backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 56c | 205$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…09abbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 193$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…a214backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 191$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…a751backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 182$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…1f7ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 173$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c3…ef80backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 158$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 53c | 149.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…7fd9backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…eb76backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 143$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 54c | 122.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 26c | 107.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…9c27backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 47c | 81.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 56c | 56.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 43c | 56.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 61c | 52.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 26c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 38.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 34.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 68c | 26.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 25.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…3e81backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…2278backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 54c | 24.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 57c | 21.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.