Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x362efc147dcc753e6c87bf41baaca54a214c0ef170768fc1a97fd0bb661fb250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,685 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 5,590$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 38c | 3,004$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.04 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 35c | 1,237$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.76 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 15c | 832.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Over | 50c | 793.34$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 570.22$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…2891backed Under | 34c | 563$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…68e7backed Under | 34c | 462$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…9db7backed Over | 66c | 461.85$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…c193backed Under | 34c | 428$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…7ffdbacked Under | 34c | 349$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5728…3b30backed Under | 34c | 326$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e5…009fbacked Over | 66c | 301$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…8e61backed Over | 66c | 296$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa269…82acbacked Under | 34c | 295$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba30…97cebacked Over | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…21b4backed Over | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…787fbacked Over | 66c | 234$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…0795backed Under | 34c | 233.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Under | 34c | 228.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4a05backed Over | 66c | 228$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…32a7backed Over | 66c | 198$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…a178backed Over | 66c | 193$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 40c | 169.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…b77fbacked Over | 66c | 163$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…0693backed Over | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3db…f426backed Over | 66c | 153$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 118.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 108.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 36c | 42.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…cb59backed Under | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 65c | 34.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 36c | 33.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…8ca5backed Over | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Under | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.