Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d37a86a2e9422880e180fc624454c4b76bf33135bd17963e40fe168d96e349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,962 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 56c | 58,500$33,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,454.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 44c | 6,850$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 44c | 6,271$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 44c | 6,172$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 5,953$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.73 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 44c | 5,166$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.93 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 3,720$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.26 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 3,694$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 43c | 3,407$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.92 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Yes | 59c | 3,401$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 30c | 3,294$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.05 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 2,230$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.66 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 34c | 1,538$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.98 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 38c | 1,381$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.76 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 19c | 999.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 44c | 915.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 913.39$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.49 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 56c | 837.66$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 45c | 822.26$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.91 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked No | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 45c | 627.43$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked No | 43c | 595.54$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 43c | 553.93$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 488.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 53c | 443.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.9 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 427$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 420.94$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 275.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 248.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 247.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Yes | 64c | 188.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…c3bbbacked Yes | 56c | 177.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 151.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes | 74c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 42c | 139$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 57c | 135.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…b20bbacked Yes | 59c | 120.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2670…168cbacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 43c | 115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 44c | 113.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 43c | 100.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…3c0abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 18c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked No | 44c | 89.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 57c | 88.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 59c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…5546backed Yes | 52c | 76.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…4c7bbacked No | 58c | 72.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 43c | 71.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba5…ee07backed Yes | 52c | 68.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked Yes | 52c | 67.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Yes | 56c | 67.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 66.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…c738backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 64.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 44c | 63.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked No | 44c | 56.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 54.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 26c | 51.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.