Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6c37f44f8183319b996cf4fc1a3005e8f939bec6c9259a91ecc62128c18317a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 8c | 1,477$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,250$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.51 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 864.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 708.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 79c | 401.35$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 291.01$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 14c | 289.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…c3bbbacked Yes | 23c | 218.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…3c0abacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 181.35$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 22c | 176.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…5546backed Yes | 21c | 160.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 156.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 11c | 136.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 130.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 22c | 90.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…4c7bbacked Yes | 23c | 88.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 77.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 22c | 70.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 80c | 56.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 79c | 50.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…1a5cbacked Yes | 21c | 50.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 42.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed No | 78c | 25.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…d8e3backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.