Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cf072d7453ac07d222575a7ec10502318234ff9ae7eff2ae2c3e5a46dce949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 2,680$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.48 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 1,237$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 29c | 464.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 23c | 426.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 380.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…82cdbacked Yes | 26c | 304$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350c…8955backed No | 74c | 304$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 74c | 268.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 191.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 181.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 24c | 158.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 115.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 28c | 86.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 17c | 85.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 83.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 80.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 76.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 76c | 66.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…5546backed No | 74c | 33.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked No | 75c | 29.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed No | 66c | 27.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…f517backed No | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 59c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba5…ee07backed No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.