CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97712bedd50f93831a73f4b128713b06636f40f052e88bcb6843fbf6b6a6c99c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof Misa Esports, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Misa Esports | 60c | 6,800$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Misa Esports | 61c | 2,847$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.84 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Falcons Force | 39c | 1,842$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.77 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Falcons Force | 40c | 1,763$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.71 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 53c | 1,708$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.88 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 1,460$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.09 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Falcons Force | 39c | 1,446$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.25 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Falcons Force | 39c | 999.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Falcons Force | 40c | 857.04$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.31 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Falcons Force | 39c | 690.84$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.66 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Misa Esports | 61c | 655.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Misa Esports | 60c | 597$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.2 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Falcons Force | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 496.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Falcons Force | 40c | 466.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…4730backed Falcons Force | 40c | 429.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force | 41c | 405.09$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Falcons Force | 40c | 377$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed Falcons Force | 74c | 375.89$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Falcons Force | 61c | 372.86$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.29 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Falcons Force | 40c | 347$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Falcons Force | 56c | 342.77$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Misa Esports | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…5047backed Falcons Force | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Falcons Force | 55c | 274.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Misa Esports | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Misa Esports | 34c | 242.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 229 | 40.2%92 W · 137 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Falcons Force | 39c | 241.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 225.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -9.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Falcons Force | 74c | 218$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…c353backed Misa Esports | 40c | 217.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Misa Esports | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…3053backed Falcons Force | 40c | 198.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Misa Esports | 59c | 194.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Falcons Force | 63c | 193.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Misa Esports | 54c | 170.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Misa Esports | 59c | 170.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Falcons Force | 40c | 167.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Misa Esports | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Misa Esports | 61c | 155.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Falcons Force | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 34c | 149.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 146$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked Falcons Force | 65c | 143.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Misa Esports | 61c | 140$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Misa Esports | 53c | 132.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed Misa Esports | 43c | 131.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Falcons Force | 40c | 125.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Misa Esports | 24c | 122.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Misa Esports | 37c | 119.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Falcons Force | 40c | 113.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Falcons Force | 41c | 112.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Falcons Force | 78c | 109.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Falcons Force | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Falcons Force | 76c | 101.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Falcons Force | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Misa Esports | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Misa Esports | 34c | 93.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Misa Esports | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 662 | 48.6%322 W · 340 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Falcons Force | 38c | 89.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Falcons Force | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…25e8backed Misa Esports | 38c | 86.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Falcons Force | 39c | 82.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Misa Esports | 35c | 82.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked Falcons Force | 70c | 71.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Misa Esports | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Misa Esports | 60c | 69.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Falcons Force | 44c | 67.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Falcons Force | 40c | 66.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Misa Esports | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Misa Esports | 61c | 60.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Falcons Force | 51c | 57.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Falcons Force | 39c | 54.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Falcons Force | 26c | 54.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +980.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Falcons Force | 74c | 54.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Falcons Force | 40c | 52.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 254 | 42.1%107 W · 147 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Falcons Force | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 230 | 37.8%87 W · 143 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Falcons Force | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 51.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Falcons Force | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…eee0backed Falcons Force | 56c | 44.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Falcons Force | 40c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Falcons Force | 67c | 43.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Falcons Force | 41c | 42.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Misa Esports | 61c | 40.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…8569backed Falcons Force | 74c | 40.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Misa Esports | 27c | 40.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Misa Esports | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…5221backed Falcons Force | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Falcons Force | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Falcons Force | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 28c | 37.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed Falcons Force | 60c | 36.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Falcons Force | 38c | 34.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Misa Esports | 33c | 33.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Misa Esports | 48c | 33.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Falcons Force | 78c | 31.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Falcons Force | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b61…8c6fbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 1 WinnerFalcons Force won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.