CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3d61e7bd6ad901bac14bb65aaab4c803b05f81ffef51b0d0c775839bbb3a1f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 997.62$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.07 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Falcons Force | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Falcons Force | 39c | 240$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Falcons Force | 39c | 169$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Falcons Force | 44c | 158.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Misa Esports | 62c | 157.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Falcons Force | 49c | 124.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Falcons Force | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed Misa Esports | 62c | 95.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Misa Esports | 44c | 89.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Misa Esports | 56c | 83.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…1ab8backed Misa Esports | 56c | 75.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…c353backed Falcons Force | 44c | 65.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Falcons Force | 49c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Misa Esports | 50c | 55.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 278 | 42.4%118 W · 160 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Misa Esports | 66c | 54.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Falcons Force | 42c | 41.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Misa Esports | 55c | 31.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Misa Esports | 61c | 21.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsFalcons Force won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 1 WinnerFalcons Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.