CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f9a6604a63a09ef52e2e772acbaaa301f60dc745cab0553c2205f8a2cd3ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof struggletony, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed struggletony | 25c | 385.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 50c | 342$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked struggletony | 44c | 267.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed struggletony | 48c | 229.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked struggletony | 29c | 216.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed struggletony | 16c | 212.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed MASONIC | 53c | 211.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed MASONIC | 55c | 207.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed struggletony | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed struggletony | 49c | 199.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked struggletony | 39c | 179$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…cf93backed MASONIC | 62c | 162.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MASONIC | 54c | 161.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed struggletony | 33c | 140.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed struggletony | 48c | 131.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked struggletony | 45c | 104.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MASONIC | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…01fcbacked MASONIC | 58c | 96.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…e58fbacked struggletony | 34c | 87.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed struggletony | 46c | 86.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed struggletony | 32c | 83.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked MASONIC | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked MASONIC | 49c | 76.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MASONIC | 62c | 66.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MASONIC | 71c | 60.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked MASONIC | 63c | 56.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked struggletony | 49c | 51.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked struggletony | 46c | 50.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed struggletony | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed MASONIC | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed MASONIC | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MASONIC | 76c | 46.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed struggletony | 44c | 45.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed MASONIC | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed MASONIC | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked struggletony | 43c | 36.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked struggletony | 33c | 36.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed struggletony | 54c | 35.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed MASONIC | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked struggletony | 43c | 30.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MASONIC | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked MASONIC | 56c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.