Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedaaa57db531af206940517a3dd0d6d65370fa3c6795d3f2e8467bed3e908049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 31c | 4,757$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.27 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 80c | 3,413$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.21 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 21c | 2,556$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.73 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f4…04c6backed Yes | 79c | 1,682$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 1,595$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.25 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 44c | 1,258$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.84 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 17c | 1,205$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.24 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…eeb7backed No | 79c | 1,111$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 1,095$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.63 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 70c | 870$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 32c | 607.78$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 26c | 595$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 22c | 554.49$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.58 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 551.7$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.16 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 490$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.94 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 23c | 434.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.11 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 36c | 389.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 352$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 43c | 349.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 62c | 319.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.77 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked Yes | 27c | 309.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 303.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 24c | 215.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fdb5backed Yes | 24c | 207.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 151$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 143.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 113.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed Yes | 16c | 110$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 24c | 108.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…32b7backed Yes | 69c | 103.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Yes | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 94.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…89dabacked Yes | 23c | 88.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 29c | 85.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 83.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 21c | 78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 77c | 71.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 76c | 68.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 78c | 61.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 46c | 59.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 21c | 53.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 51.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277a…6345backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 49.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 76c | 40.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…b963backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 33.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…5a22backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 77c | 31.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 74c | 26.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…2382backed Yes | 45c | 24.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 67c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -10.9wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 79c | 18.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 17.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Yes | 77c | 16.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…791abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Germany be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.