Fifa International · resolved market
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x333cd0c81621285d0e863e5f3819f0064a2b23cb7f0d68742ace6b09f3f64b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 16c | 10,986$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.98 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 18c | 3,666$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.12 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…66fbbacked Yes | 27c | 3,386$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 41c | 3,219$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.65 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 29c | 2,351$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.17 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Yes | 12c | 2,270$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,758$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,739$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.63 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 1,349$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.13 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 11c | 1,262$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 893.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 23c | 628.05$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 9c | 623$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 73c | 496.24$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 20c | 462.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 14c | 433.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 389.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 16c | 360.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 318.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 304$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…a76bbacked Yes | 19c | 263.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed Yes | 10c | 215.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 62c | 183.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 175$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 165$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…180ebacked Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 9c | 145$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 144.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 20c | 144.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 14c | 124.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 113.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 18c | 100.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 17c | 92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 76c | 91.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 55c | 90.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 89.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 53c | 83.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 53c | 83.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ba…1eabbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 25c | 55.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 69c | 51.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…3d52backed Yes | 31c | 51.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 23c | 46.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c8c9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…b167backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…2520backed No | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 60c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…cf01backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Germany be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.