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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes56c1,049$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5640649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2593…01a6backed Yes59c899.79$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes70c851.91$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8923644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No40c799.15$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.6987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes59c699.86$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9218460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes55c619$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.612352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No36c541.38$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.518139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked Yes61c524.59$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.593938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+95.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08be…3eb1backed Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No3c412.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1348438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No15c343$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.047799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes62c313.03$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.382,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No45c306.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.541,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes49c299.76$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5235033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No45c294.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0543835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No45c288$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.175957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked No42c286.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.257742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No40c280.8$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3730241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No37c248.44$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9665651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No26c245$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6921958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No38c244.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1117558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf6…e816backed No47c211.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes56c205$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.422243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No34c198.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9342737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes61c186$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.287413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked Yes57c176.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.743148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes54c171.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6512038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No26c168.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322125.8%57 W · 164 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No38c162.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0441231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No41c161.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6528256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes53c132.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6172247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No39c131.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.599455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes58c117.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.012,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No38c115$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2820652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No29c112.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7125638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No43c110.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6910966.1%72 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes57c102.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.864040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No32c101$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0228554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes56c101$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4416336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed Yes57c100.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.74930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No41c100.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4134151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No39c99.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9917953.6%96 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes41c99.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8925244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c96.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.115455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab5…f570backed No35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.74916.3%8 W · 41 L-10.9wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-74%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7b…8eaabacked No46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.021650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.342640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.717340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d0f…68e1backed No50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.052035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab78…a918backed Yes61c65.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No39c62.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd083…d678backed No42c61.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid+17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No41c60.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4218636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2113051.5%67 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.232044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes27c57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.447639.5%30 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No33c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.484346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed No43c55.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.737149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6526037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.516333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…95cebacked Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.516246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.957448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No44c49.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6214436.1%52 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No42c47.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.223245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84de…00c6backed No42c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d6…551abacked Yes58c44.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.712842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes53c44.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.832,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes64c39.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3515942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.879644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes62c35.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4766239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.819760.4%119 W · 78 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a09…9974backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No63c33.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1510444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes56c33.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155e…c2b5backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes49c32.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.616428.1%18 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes57c31.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4612847.7%61 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes54c30.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.96160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7913035.4%46 W · 84 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x246f…d0edbacked Yes58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27a…71ebbacked Yes61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.594652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No65c21.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1514858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4766…8092backed Yes58c21.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.171776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Yes57c21.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.316740.7%68 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2422623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f6…3b57backed Yes68c19.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.