Fifa International · resolved market
Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93cf4ae50c96af74e17e980fde69421468afafc03c372317591f194c74100257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,049$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2593…01a6backed Yes | 59c | 899.79$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 70c | 851.91$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 40c | 799.15$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 59c | 699.86$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.92 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 55c | 619$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.6 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 36c | 541.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked Yes | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…3eb1backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 3c | 412.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 343$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 62c | 313.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 45c | 306.82$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 49c | 299.76$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 45c | 294.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 45c | 288$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 42c | 286.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 40c | 280.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 248.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 26c | 245$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 244.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…e816backed No | 47c | 211.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 56c | 205$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 34c | 198.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 61c | 186$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked Yes | 57c | 176.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 54c | 171.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked No | 26c | 168.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 38c | 162.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 161.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 53c | 132.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 39c | 131.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 58c | 117.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 38c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 29c | 112.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 43c | 110.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed Yes | 57c | 102.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 101$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 56c | 101$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 57c | 100.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 41c | 100.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 41c | 99.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 96.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed No | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -10.9wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…8eaabacked No | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…68e1backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…a918backed Yes | 61c | 65.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 39c | 62.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed No | 42c | 61.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 41c | 60.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 27c | 57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed No | 43c | 55.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…95cebacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 44c | 49.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…00c6backed No | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Yes | 58c | 44.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 44.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 64c | 39.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 35.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…9974backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 33.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 56c | 33.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…c2b5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 49c | 32.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 57c | 31.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 54c | 30.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…d0edbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…71ebbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 21.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…8092backed Yes | 58c | 21.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 57c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…3b57backed Yes | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Australia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Australia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Australia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.