Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cabbeb1a0ba3f8b03a5eda407110a9b73b71c9bfbd05f25970bd28e3330ee1e

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $187,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $187,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,519 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	7c	12,088$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.71	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	18c	10,788$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,898.28	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	1c	9,947$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.69	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No	18c	8,032$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,582.21	161	16.1%26 W · 135 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked No	42c	5,019$2,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,893.01	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked No	60c	4,900$2,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,963.14	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	4c	4,242$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.27	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…329abacked Yes	65c	4,206$2,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,714.08	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	17c	2,488$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.19	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	33c	2,372$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,581.49	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes	4c	2,301$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.09	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d39…c90abacked Yes	1c	1,994$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+624.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	6c	1,770$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.34	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	1,675$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.44	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	42c	1,146$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.24	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	8c	1,027$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.76	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes	4c	1,025$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+6.6wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7420…fc53backed Yes	1c	1,001$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No	70c	983.62$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.59	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Yes	25c	946.7$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.92	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	43c	944.32$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.52	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	46c	912.82$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.31	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked No	19c	841.22$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.22	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1d…4d41backed Yes	2c	800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.6wins	+0.23per pick	46cpaid	+336.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No	20c	795.2$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.2	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	790.89$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.86	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes	73c	786.75$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.65	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	61c	761$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.02	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5231…326dbacked Yes	77c	729$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.74	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	80c	671.23$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.38	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	52c	629.93$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.52	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed No	30c	627$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.41	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes	69c	566.02$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+210.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03be…e99cbacked Yes	18c	522.38$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660d…121bbacked Yes	2c	519$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked No	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	60c	488.02$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.05	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	15c	483.08$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.66	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	69c	464.15$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.89	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes	43c	460.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+16.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+27%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes	58c	422.45$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.59	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes	74c	400$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.99	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Yes	56c	396.43$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e52…98fbbacked Yes	76c	394.52$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.86	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	20c	392.24$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.53	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed No	62c	391.96$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.78	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x760f…326abacked No	44c	387.79$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.61	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed No	27c	370.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.37	321	45.5%146 W · 175 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	79c	369.98$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.99	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x326f…802dbacked Yes	17c	359.28$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes	60c	347.22$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.97	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b1…9643backed Yes	17c	299.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	65c	278$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.06	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes	7c	273.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	253	28.1%71 W · 182 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe6…2769backed No	69c	268.35$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.35	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1726…5f1bbacked Yes	69c	267.63$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.47	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed No	36c	266.93$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.27	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed Yes	71c	253.87$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes	72c	244.24$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.83	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed No	13c	239.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.86	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes	56c	232.14$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes	75c	230.25$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.66	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.13per pick	35cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x966f…5cdcbacked Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	72c	223$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.07	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1694…8badbacked No	14c	221.23$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.26	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	48c	219.24$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.27	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc95…0b9cbacked No	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed No	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.2	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a19…2328backed Yes	46c	199.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	+204.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d62…e937backed No	21c	190.37$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.37	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe87c…1817backed Yes	27c	186.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes	20c	182.89$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.31	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Yes	16c	182.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	338	47.9%162 W · 176 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes	17c	180$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	80c	177.74$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.68	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No	57c	175$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.25	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdf…47c6backed Yes	17c	174.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	26c	166.14$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.49	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	18c	165.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	70c	164.57$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.17	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes	20c	163.25$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.11	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-4.8wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-50%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc3e5…ae72backed Yes	17c	155$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	+71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	78c	154.49$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf17…6cc6backed No	64c	152.18$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No	70c	151.79$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2281…cf06backed Yes	18c	147.89$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	18c	140.95$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.58	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	73c	137.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c52…ede7backed Yes	56c	127.83$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.18	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	+65%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ff…6ab4backed Yes	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb477…673ebacked No	72c	125.67$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.53	85	71.8%61 W · 24 L	+7.0wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed Yes	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc067…eefbbacked No	65c	123.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.85	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	34cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	32c	121.49$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.12	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	18c	120.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No	15c	118$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.77	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x77e3…46cfbacked Yes	79c	116.84$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	17c	115.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event