Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d1f96da8c58c5e3c98e013caf5793f8852b88baf7904bfdae2d4bae0965c653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 13c | 1,717$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 18c | 1,226$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 78c | 739.94$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 26c | 581.68$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 34c | 520.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 4c | 508.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 11c | 506.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed No | 77c | 423.68$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 346.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Yes | 31c | 345.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 296.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 25c | 288.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 282.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 276.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…eb97backed Yes | 19c | 262.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 29c | 249.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 25c | 246.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 6c | 244.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 29c | 236.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 35c | 227.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…ee11backed Yes | 21c | 220.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked No | 65c | 213.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 208.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 203.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 184.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedd…52d4backed Yes | 18c | 183.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 23c | 170.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 148.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 25c | 131.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 14c | 127.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 76c | 127.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 79c | 109.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 72c | 106.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 24c | 102.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 99.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 27c | 98.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 97.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 30c | 87.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 14c | 87.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…2766backed Yes | 35c | 86.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 34c | 83.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 81.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…a545backed Yes | 29c | 78.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 114 | 69.3%79 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…998fbacked Yes | 37c | 77.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 35c | 75.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 33c | 75.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…df07backed Yes | 38c | 74.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 29c | 73.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…6b1abacked Yes | 32c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 30c | 65.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 23c | 65.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 23c | 64.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 25c | 64.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…8c4ebacked Yes | 29c | 64.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 76c | 63.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Yes | 34c | 62.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…4039backed Yes | 30c | 61.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 61.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 25c | 60.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 35c | 59.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 28c | 58.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…f7ddbacked Yes | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…3cbcbacked Yes | 33c | 56.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 20c | 55.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 55.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc524…3633backed No | 78c | 54.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 36c | 53.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 68c | 53.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…76afbacked Yes | 20c | 52.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…21bebacked Yes | 27c | 51.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 27c | 50.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…f521backed Yes | 28c | 50.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…b5b1backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 211 | 31.8%67 W · 144 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…bfe7backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…1b64backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6d55backed No | 78c | 49.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 67c | 49.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 49.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 35c | 48.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 48.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked Yes | 33c | 46.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 29c | 46.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 79c | 45.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 33c | 43.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 66c | 42.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 42.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…0e6ebacked Yes | 27c | 42.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…6475backed Yes | 27c | 41.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 72c | 41.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 34c | 39.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed No | 79c | 39.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 33c | 38.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…2ee9backed Yes | 32c | 38.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…5a0abacked Yes | 28c | 37.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 36c | 36.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 69c | 35.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.