Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2b322f1ab289966fb4d8647d419f486d7b8dafae636ebd669f4b828976c082b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 46c | 897.34$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.15 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 31c | 760.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.13 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…c49fbacked Yes | 2c | 503.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 43c | 460.42$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 20c | 416.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 416.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 45c | 409.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 38c | 391.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 49c | 388.48$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 56c | 340.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed No | 68c | 324.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 76c | 311.51$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed No | 53c | 299.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 45c | 291.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 48c | 291.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 72c | 266.16$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 264.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 262.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 43c | 251.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 18c | 250.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 46c | 234.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 16c | 234.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 24c | 231.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 23c | 226.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 47c | 219.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 47c | 200.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 50c | 191.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 176.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 44c | 174.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…cc39backed Yes | 36c | 173.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 169.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 32c | 165.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 41c | 159.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 42c | 158.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 44c | 156$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…5154backed Yes | 62c | 147.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 36c | 146.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 134$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…566ebacked Yes | 39c | 133.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 43c | 130.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 54c | 127.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 48c | 127.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…ec34backed Yes | 37c | 125.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 40c | 122.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 122.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 56c | 122.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed No | 69c | 116.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 34c | 113.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Yes | 34c | 112.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 37c | 111.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 56c | 109.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 55c | 108.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 24c | 108$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked No | 53c | 105.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…bec9backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…646ebacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 36c | 99.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 47c | 99.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 97.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…4039backed Yes | 49c | 97.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 95.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 95.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 39c | 89.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…5e41backed No | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…93cbbacked Yes | 47c | 87.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…2766backed Yes | 49c | 87.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 45c | 86.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…4264backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -12.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…9678backed No | 65c | 76.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 43c | 75.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 55c | 75.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 40c | 73.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5812…8c24backed Yes | 45c | 71.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925f…70c2backed Yes | 40c | 70.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Yes | 57c | 67.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 24c | 66.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 46c | 62.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…3bb3backed Yes | 54c | 62.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…d445backed Yes | 56c | 61.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94c…3fe4backed Yes | 51c | 61.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…04a6backed Yes | 46c | 61.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 44c | 61.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed Yes | 60c | 61.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…3270backed Yes | 57c | 58.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 73c | 57.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 50c | 57.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…352dbacked Yes | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 40c | 54.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 60c | 54.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…8b00backed Yes | 35c | 53.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.