TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes51c5,377$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.983847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes22c2,735$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.3413832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No70c2,501$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.677946.8%37 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8bf…8ecebacked No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes16c1,421$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.317034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146f…9410backed Yes41c1,313$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes16c1,283$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No70c1,082$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.132133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes74c1,023$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.6642862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes28c1,001$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1817849.4%88 W · 90 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23b…c1e5backed Yes17c815.58$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes19c776.89$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.895642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes17c766.2$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7710850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d35…94eebacked Yes33c750.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No62c728$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes28c700$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.469652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No33c677$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.771233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes19c648$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes26c601.77$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.544325.6%11 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8df…ec75backed Yes22c541.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1653…24b0backed Yes19c526.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No57c497.61$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.515839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba9…b683backed Yes75c489.12$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No57c489.03$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.542560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No72c454.47$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e6…c078backed Yes19c395$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes18c370.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.777444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c351.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.42037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes6c350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.355547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed Yes21c340.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.932352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…5668backed Yes20c336.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No71c330$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No29c326.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9315233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No78c315$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.272157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes24c288.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes19c278$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No69c255.59$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.511353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No25c246.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.744712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes21c240.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503517.1%6 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x38a8…865abacked Yes18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No77c220.81$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes23c214$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed Yes18c201.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes15c199.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes26c192$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf869…93f3backed No39c190.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed No56c178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No21c176.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.061127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No30c169.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No78c154$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…dec9backed Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes21c150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No60c143.27$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.14850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes21c140$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes11c139.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes68c127.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes18c119.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c0…a433backed Yes18c119.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked No78c110.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes15c108.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.353043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce9…ddf1backed Yes18c108.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c107$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Yes20c104.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…9aeabacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf864…7fb5backed Yes18c99.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes63c97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1111143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes19c95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes19c93.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9832…6e4dbacked Yes47c92.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9362…d4a4backed No78c88.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5141…7346backed Yes33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes18c76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…dff0backed Yes80c70.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9693…bc1cbacked No74c69.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb70…01c0backed No67c69.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No71c69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.97366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No39c68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7412450.8%63 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aab…7aacbacked No30c66.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x302e…88ccbacked No71c65.31$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No72c64.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.883221.9%7 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes24c64.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21050%5 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+154.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e07…0439backed Yes22c63.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed No78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c02…abf9backed Yes34c59.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d2…bef6backed Yes19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82cd…d7d8backed Yes19c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c4…cb3bbacked Yes20c56.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No79c52.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No33c50.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.