Music · resolved market
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86942af92e196b84f23051b5dc7c6b7220a03e0c1b52cafe7ea228a2b649b32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 37c | 8,643$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 34c | 6,330$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.53 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 63c | 3,311$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 64c | 3,100$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.21 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 70c | 2,552$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 37c | 2,212$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.23 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 2,054$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.11 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 66c | 2,035$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 58c | 2,021$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.07 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 65c | 1,868$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.43 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 1,775$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 48c | 1,500$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,010$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.42 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…719fbacked Yes | 48c | 990.24$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 37c | 983.32$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 45c | 961$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 62c | 769.98$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 76c | 705$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 33c | 609.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 572$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 5c | 568.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 41c | 551.76$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 29c | 546.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 35c | 500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 66c | 482.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 68c | 471.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 34c | 454.66$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 32c | 454.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 67c | 444$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 432.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb35…4af4backed Yes | 71c | 421.1$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 36c | 411.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…6d17backed Yes | 52c | 385.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 376.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c8…c674backed No | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 48c | 337.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 64c | 332$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…ee1cbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked Yes | 73c | 277.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 36c | 266.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 258$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 49c | 256.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 8c | 254.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…c249backed Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 34c | 220.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 207$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…63b9backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 52c | 166.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked No | 60c | 165.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 44c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 45c | 149.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 65c | 149.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 77c | 144.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 140.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…01f4backed Yes | 65c | 136.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Yes | 49c | 130.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 32c | 127.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 46c | 124.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 27c | 121$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Yes | 34c | 116.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…0cdebacked No | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d6…1cc8backed No | 41c | 113.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 45c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…2dafbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…006abacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…eb8cbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…9316backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…fda3backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbab…0337backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…2012backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…e720backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 42c | 98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 68c | 94.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked No | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…5645backed Yes | 40c | 75.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…72fabacked Yes | 42c | 71.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 40c | 71.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 35c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…a691backed No | 47c | 69.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 69c | 67.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…8dcabacked No | 41c | 67.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 66c | 65.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9689backed No | 38c | 62.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Armenia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Czechia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Latvia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Norway win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Switzerland win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.