Music · resolved market
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f8ee066a7f3f65db6cf122074bc665a1e3490a8306d5a44b092a24ba53e5af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 67c | 10,000$6,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.49 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Yes | 33c | 8,360$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 37c | 5,197$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 62c | 4,882$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 2,097$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 40c | 2,079$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.31 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked No | 67c | 1,467$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 1,158$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.71 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…719fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,106$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 10c | 993$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 1c | 930.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 64c | 878.03$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.31 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 834.1$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 675.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 68c | 627$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 76c | 493.98$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 34c | 477.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…ede0backed Yes | 41c | 420.42$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 68c | 400$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 32c | 357$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 11c | 356.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 65c | 352$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 332$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 318.84$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 38c | 303.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed No | 68c | 295.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 64c | 281.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 281.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 31c | 267.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 23c | 248.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb35…4af4backed No | 71c | 241.05$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 64c | 226.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 33c | 210.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…63b9backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 197$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 35c | 190$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…68ddbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Yes | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…e8a4backed No | 76c | 146.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +871.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 75c | 129.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 80c | 125.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 124.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 70c | 116$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 31c | 103$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…13d2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d84…4654backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…2229backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…440fbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…e720backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…6706backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…2dafbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…41b4backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…11cebacked Yes | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 17c | 99.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 35c | 84.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…c7debacked No | 65c | 83.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1e…a3d7backed Yes | 38c | 79.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…4ee5backed Yes | 24c | 72.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 72c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed No | 78c | 64.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 33c | 63.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 40c | 62.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed No | 65c | 60.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…4870backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed Yes | 38c | 58.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…3a90backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 59c | 51.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 31c | 50.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…8347backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…ee1cbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 67c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 68c | 46.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +103%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 66c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…1281backed Yes | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…fc31backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b8ddbacked Yes | 35c | 40.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 26c | 39.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed No | 67c | 37.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed No | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 64c | 27.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 59c | 25.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…c524backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…dcdebacked No | 67c | 23.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed No | 64c | 23.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…dd9fbacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…0cdebacked No | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Armenia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Czechia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Latvia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Norway win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Switzerland win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.