Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9146b70662f77d5defd93b6c533f2b0ebe0350d31156593221c4cf03f83aab8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 7c | 47,645$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.44 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…6378backed Yes | 0c | 20,064$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 2c | 19,995$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 1c | 18,491$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 1c | 11,503$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 1c | 9,577$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 5c | 8,862$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 1c | 8,431$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 6,048$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 24c | 4,332$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.6 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…dbd4backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3559backed Yes | 7c | 3,457$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 20c | 3,295$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.61 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 3,200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,026$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…cb24backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…8ab9backed Yes | 18c | 2,888$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,635$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes | 31c | 2,560$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.37 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…9f50backed Yes | 38c | 2,521$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed Yes | 24c | 2,099$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.86 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 1c | 1,984$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…f567backed Yes | 1c | 1,901$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…653bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,796$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 22c | 1,765$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.63 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,725$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 13c | 1,695$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.77 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,683$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…9caabacked Yes | 13c | 1,654$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 3c | 1,450$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…044dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,337$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.95 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 37c | 1,228$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…820cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,202$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…eee6backed No | 65c | 1,188$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.69 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 10c | 1,181$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked No | 65c | 1,114$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.95 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes | 11c | 1,100$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,067$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 63 | 12.7%8 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 15c | 1,059$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed No | 66c | 992.6$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.77 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 19c | 978.03$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 18c | 964.53$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…227bbacked No | 66c | 954.86$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 940.46$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.35 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 37c | 936.04$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 1c | 911.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 36c | 905.28$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.43 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 5c | 905.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 10c | 899.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 9c | 891.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 4c | 887.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…98c3backed Yes | 3c | 817.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 802.24$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 28c | 728.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed Yes | 3c | 699.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 8c | 699.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e493backed Yes | 8c | 699.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 678$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…6de9backed Yes | 42c | 675.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 6c | 654.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 37c | 636.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed Yes | 17c | 635.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…2444backed Yes | 42c | 629.82$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes | 42c | 604.87$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…560cbacked Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes | 24c | 593.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 26c | 541.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 63c | 506.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…8e4ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked No | 66c | 470.04$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes | 38c | 451.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…6da7backed Yes | 31c | 411.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 212 | 15.1%32 W · 180 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 16c | 397.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 345 | 15.9%55 W · 290 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 38c | 381.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 5c | 374.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 33c | 368.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked No | 73c | 360.55$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…0083backed Yes | 29c | 357.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…a518backed Yes | 35c | 342.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…5be3backed Yes | 14c | 338.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…89c7backed Yes | 42c | 336.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 61c | 326.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 18c | 318.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 29c | 318.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7522…df3cbacked Yes | 17c | 310.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Yes | 29c | 309.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…3eedbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 78c | 299.85$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 299.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…a93dbacked Yes | 35c | 284.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.