Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a24a609ee9c10967274d0f923aac0d7506bc2c291f6c4a2bb501418f789cf66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,738$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 5c | 9,545$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.36 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 0c | 8,180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 0c | 7,229$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3559backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,573$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 7c | 3,408$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 2,788$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,337$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…cb24backed Yes | 7c | 2,181$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 2c | 1,998$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 8c | 1,688$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,319$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,314$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…dbd4backed Yes | 8c | 1,283$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 10c | 1,147$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes | 13c | 1,052$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 12.7%8 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed Yes | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 11c | 933.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 10c | 901.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 6c | 868.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 11c | 860.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed Yes | 10c | 838.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed Yes | 11c | 801.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 7c | 781.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 6c | 773.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 1c | 768.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 8c | 754.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 12c | 746.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes | 4c | 700$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 11c | 694.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 5c | 669.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…bfb2backed Yes | 11c | 665.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 15c | 612.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 13c | 583.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 4c | 549.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 5c | 502.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…8034backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 16.9%24 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…d5b4backed Yes | 6c | 463.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 10c | 455$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5a…0a70backed Yes | 7c | 429.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 9c | 402.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 11c | 393.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 345 | 15.9%55 W · 290 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 10c | 386.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 12c | 377.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…b22fbacked Yes | 4c | 370.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 6c | 324.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…2444backed Yes | 10c | 318.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…8e4ebacked Yes | 6c | 302$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Yes | 13c | 301.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…c991backed Yes | 11c | 235.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 161 | 24.2%39 W · 122 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…c878backed Yes | 10c | 231.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6054…3628backed Yes | 9c | 224.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 12c | 217.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 212 | 20.3%43 W · 169 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +610.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 9c | 188.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…653bbacked Yes | 15c | 183$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…88f5backed Yes | 6c | 176.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes | 12c | 165.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 13c | 151.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 183 | 21.9%40 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8c…dbefbacked Yes | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 12c | 146.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 145 | 7.6%11 W · 134 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…e581backed Yes | 13c | 138.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…3bc2backed Yes | 10c | 136.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…2911backed Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee52…c7d0backed Yes | 13c | 132.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…b89abacked Yes | 8c | 132.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 11c | 119.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7522…df3cbacked Yes | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 6.7%8 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.