Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4e2fb22660a2bc18c5cfeb988aefdd384a82d4d7587a5680560bb81f243dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 5,156$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.7 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 5c | 1,354$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 1,133$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.26 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 1,020$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.22 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 927.6$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 27c | 846.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.27 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 833.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.68 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 31c | 761.05$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 74c | 758.54$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed Yes | 14c | 757.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 19c | 660.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 36c | 651.21$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 15c | 643.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 28c | 506.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 79c | 490.53$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 28c | 380.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 351.65$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 12c | 348.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 18c | 307.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 18c | 298.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 29c | 292.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 66c | 283.65$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 20c | 281.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 56c | 275.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 26c | 274.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 47c | 269.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07de…d541backed Yes | 41c | 261.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 25c | 257.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 17c | 250$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…4406backed Yes | 46c | 249.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 235.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 23c | 234.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 17c | 232.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 29c | 223.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 42c | 223.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 77c | 220.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 212.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed No | 65c | 211.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 17c | 197.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 78c | 197.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked No | 76c | 196.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 59c | 196.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 77c | 196.09$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 50c | 191.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 185$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 27c | 182.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 49c | 176.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 30c | 164$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 26c | 161$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 44c | 157.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed Yes | 9c | 152$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5cd7backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed No | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 139.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…df5abacked Yes | 29c | 138.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…388fbacked Yes | 61c | 138.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 66c | 138.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 63c | 137.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 40c | 137.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 136.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 66c | 129.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 71c | 127.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 19c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…acf6backed No | 42c | 121.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 73c | 121.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 71c | 120.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed Yes | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…c2d1backed No | 62c | 119.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…636abacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 10c | 109.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 69c | 108.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…12c4backed No | 37c | 107.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 28c | 105.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 29c | 101.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 13c | 99.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 60c | 94.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 33c | 91.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 54c | 90.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 70c | 89.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 41c | 86.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…2d4bbacked No | 62c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 71c | 85.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 12c | 85.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Yes | 24c | 83.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…ed3fbacked Yes | 19c | 80.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 51c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 36c | 67.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…8be6backed Yes | 48c | 65.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.