Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae42f8d1211df342cd9c76f5d087eb762543ac7bbd71b5899666235837e8d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 17c | 2,488$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.96 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,169$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 1,605$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 10c | 1,179$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 1,058$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 14c | 836.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…560bbacked Yes | 23c | 658.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 31c | 652.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 3c | 599.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 11c | 577.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 6c | 531.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 383.19$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 17c | 366.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 326.59$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 22c | 299.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 41c | 295.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 15c | 273.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 5c | 273.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 8c | 267.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9458…a7f3backed Yes | 22c | 253.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…a73bbacked Yes | 6c | 231.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 21c | 229.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 11c | 227.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 5c | 227.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 36c | 223.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 221.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 36c | 221.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 6c | 215.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 67c | 209$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 23c | 199.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 7c | 195$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 31c | 191.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…12c4backed Yes | 16c | 177.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 175.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 6c | 169.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 169.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 29c | 165.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 31c | 160.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 11c | 159.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 157.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 12c | 147.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…aa2abacked No | 64c | 143$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…acf6backed Yes | 22c | 140.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 10c | 139.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 7c | 139.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 35c | 139.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 78c | 137.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 22c | 136.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 72c | 135.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…ed3fbacked Yes | 8c | 132.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 130.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 77c | 129$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 37c | 120.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e1fabacked Yes | 17c | 117.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 79c | 113$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 18c | 111.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 74c | 110.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 74c | 108.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 11c | 106.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 21c | 106.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 15c | 106.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…9c01backed Yes | 10c | 104.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 76c | 104.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 12c | 101.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 101.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 96.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 95.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 33c | 95.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 22c | 92.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 17c | 90.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 86.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 15c | 85.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…388cbacked No | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 73c | 84.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 66c | 83.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 34c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…636abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 78c | 78.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 24c | 76.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 66c | 72.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…02c3backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 69.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 28c | 66.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 66.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.