Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4076d6111cb47e534a216e7d33613042231acc22d4b0a74bcd5669b98b805a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 60c | 4,227$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.68 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 44c | 4,062$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.4 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 60c | 2,413$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.65 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 60c | 1,622$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.86 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 60c | 1,182$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 1,058$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.38 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 857$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 21c | 793.62$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.23 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 757.95$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.22 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 60c | 650$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 70c | 561.83$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.04 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes | 50c | 545.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 2c | 535.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 449.47$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.96 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 43c | 441.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 36c | 423.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 51c | 418.88$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 39c | 412.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 399.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 383.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 41c | 366.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 365$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 361.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 339.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 330$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…b5f0backed No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 296$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 78c | 293.86$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 40c | 289.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 52c | 276.41$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 43c | 274.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 33c | 270.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 41c | 266.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07de…d541backed Yes | 31c | 260$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 38c | 256.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…4406backed Yes | 50c | 250.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 44c | 246.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 42c | 236.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked Yes | 44c | 233.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 58c | 227.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 49c | 223.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 34c | 222.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 35c | 220$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 35c | 217.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 61c | 217$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 215.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 58c | 209.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed Yes | 45c | 202.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…bdc6backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked No | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 22c | 197.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 48c | 192.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 189.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 34c | 188.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 21c | 186.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 29c | 186.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 56c | 183.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 174.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 162.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 37c | 156.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 53c | 151.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 50c | 151.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 42c | 138$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 63c | 137.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 54c | 136.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 33c | 135.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 56c | 135.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 34c | 122.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 41c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 41c | 116.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 116.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…8b39backed No | 58c | 116.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 46c | 116.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…d06fbacked No | 58c | 115.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 46c | 115.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 60c | 112$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 43c | 111.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 43c | 110.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 64c | 109.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 108$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 106.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 31c | 106.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 43c | 103.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 44c | 102.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 39c | 100.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 43c | 97.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 53c | 91.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 42c | 90.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…0d63backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.