TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2c3…ac23backed No38c499.95$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8478…4f11backed Yes56c382$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.575100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb57c…7b15backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No38c265.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes62c227.36$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Yes61c199.33$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7215642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No40c108.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4525352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a85…876cbacked No44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No39c76.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8816336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed No40c74.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.312038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6de9…752abacked Yes61c57.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.541833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No39c48.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6166239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed No43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes61c36.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0620427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes62c35.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b9…5225backed Yes64c31.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.311225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes63c26.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9917652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No41c26.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0438329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5f…b2f0backed Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes59c20.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2148636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes62c17.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.