TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…3239backed Yes54c305.46$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.451872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No44c249.15$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.721063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes54c176.19$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffc5…67a5backed Yes56c173.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.361546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No46c108.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9121944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9925352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No69c93.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.694226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3766239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No54c73.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.852,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.48936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No44c58.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9341231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No44c55.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.76358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26bc…6b72backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No68c50.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2248961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked No47c44.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes59c42.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63090%27 W · 3 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8469…dab0backed No48c42.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No69c42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9813148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…7302backed Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes50c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5317652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No46c32.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.973948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.711038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No44c25.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2615859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Yes56c24.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed Yes55c23.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.673951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No47c23.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c14…8da1backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f3…1a88backed No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.132944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.213251.5%68 W · 64 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…9fbabacked Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd66…132cbacked Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked No59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.