TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x355e…a038backed No14c1,602$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5524037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No24c1,354$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.312534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No21c818.3$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.114323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No27c600.27$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.772634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked Yes79c519.08$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.833946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes79c347.21$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes72c260.31$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8924954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes77c206.94$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.61,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes74c191.12$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No27c185.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9821944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes73c165.65$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7341231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked No28c144.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No22c110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes77c101.1$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.257244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0670…09c7backed Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-83.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes77c93.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.358366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed29…d325backed Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-75.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes71c66.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes77c66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1816336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No29c51.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.953948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No27c41.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed Yes76c38.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.113663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes73c32.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7325352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes76c31.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7518453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes74c29.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6538329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e40…224ebacked Yes74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.273043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes77c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6511256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a7…3172backed Yes80c18.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.821060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a4…65a6backed Yes80c17.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.421770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes74c16.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.377250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes74c14.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Yes73c13.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.