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Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf797…0bf2backed No51c711.31$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.212534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed Yes45c442.22$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No47c362.13$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.424037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed Yes46c217.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes51c200.84$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4320447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No45c200.16$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0413044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No46c199.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9855344.7%247 W · 306 L-28.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No70c160.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6248961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x97a9…f9edbacked Yes54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No54c119.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.841872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x13f5…7049backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508966.3%59 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c81.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes67c69.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x58ac…aef0backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No55c46.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9923357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No49c46.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7417945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No44c44.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0866439.6%263 W · 401 L-47.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5f62backed Yes54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.217652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1411038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b10…9e69backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No54c33.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5214323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…540cbacked Yes53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af4…a5adbacked Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe0…645dbacked Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No48c24.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.538329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b71…70f7backed Yes74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked Yes52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes52c19.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.282,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.