TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf797…0bf2backed No22c1,292$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6512534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed No17c1,108$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.349743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes80c686.06$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes75c651.74$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.342588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes77c225.3$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.215244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No18c213.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes79c211.87$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.491,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed No21c209.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes78c206.94$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.531,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes70c201.52$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Yes69c178.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed No28c136.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes46c127.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4224954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2235958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No51c97.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8621944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes71c90.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9621063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes77c83.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6117652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No54c76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0416336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes43c74.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6880225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked No33c60.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Yes69c60.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.711861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes80c58.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6711256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes73c57.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.522,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No27c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.330241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed No31c42.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.768540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a4…65a6backed Yes80c31.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.481770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No53c28.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.953948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes75c22.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7217432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.411748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes79c17.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7118453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked Yes74c16.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.26358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.