Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90887fc51bde2638a135ba025f04930c75cdcf51ff4f5dac9c5fa710eff605d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 0c | 61,764$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…473abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 0c | 14,034$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 0c | 10,722$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 0c | 10,125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 9c | 4,450$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,070$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 2c | 3,675$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 1c | 3,321$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 5c | 2,960$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 10c | 2,932$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.12 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,880$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 1c | 2,843$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…0ef2backed Yes | 27c | 2,336$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,150$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.57 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,058$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,949$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 185 | 11.4%21 W · 164 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 8c | 1,696$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…d60dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,693$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.44 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…8232backed Yes | 33c | 1,496$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…e43dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,036$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 186 | 16.1%30 W · 156 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 5c | 963.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 10c | 867.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 19c | 771.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 29c | 696.68$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…353cbacked Yes | 27c | 660.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…9e90backed Yes | 6c | 650.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 14c | 557.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…6422backed Yes | 18c | 554.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 8c | 522$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 10c | 521.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 72c | 458.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…e1a4backed Yes | 3c | 425.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked Yes | 28c | 411.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 15c | 400$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 5c | 371.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 558 | 8.2%46 W · 512 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 349.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 9c | 301.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…66c7backed Yes | 19c | 298.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…a7e0backed Yes | 8c | 265$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d9…80a4backed Yes | 28c | 250.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 73c | 249.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes | 9c | 229.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 17c | 221.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 71c | 214$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed No | 78c | 208.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 174 | 19%33 W · 141 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 13.8%20 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…36abbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…6825backed Yes | 7c | 198.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes | 19c | 181.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 167 | 16.2%27 W · 140 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 18c | 135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…1537backed Yes | 15c | 128.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28cc…0f79backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 66c | 126.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…82d6backed Yes | 28c | 100.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…09c7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…df3cbacked No | 76c | 99.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 280 | 34.3%96 W · 184 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…057ebacked Yes | 19c | 90.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…cca7backed Yes | 24c | 77.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bc…6b72backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 80c | 65.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…f6e8backed No | 77c | 56.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…e65cbacked Yes | 25c | 55.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 25c | 55.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…9a02backed Yes | 23c | 49.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…b907backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…b91fbacked Yes | 28c | 39.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d07…4010backed Yes | 33c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…80f5backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…fffdbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9b…5bb9backed No | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…4bc3backed No | 76c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed No | 73c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…07ffbacked No | 73c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.