Lol · resolved market
Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVP
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33f0636f07c601a4cf2c775d67c75a0847fe74cde68a35447b34c5ea1763284b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bc6…eff4backed Yes | 18c | 1,704$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 15c | 1,523$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 80c | 1,503$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb2…af7bbacked Yes | 20c | 700.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 20c | 578.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 568.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Yes | 5c | 346.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 27c | 226.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 14c | 169.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…4807backed Yes | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…00ecbacked No | 78c | 136.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 16c | 117.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bc…6b72backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 18c | 102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…98bfbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 15c | 98.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…90cabacked Yes | 14c | 73.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes | 16c | 66.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 30c | 40.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPthis page
- Will Bin Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Faker Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Gumayusi Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Kanavi Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Keria Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will ON Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Peyz Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Xun Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Zeus Win MSI Finals MVPYes won
- Will knight Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.