Lol · resolved market
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61638ac86101cdf7720d14548a58fda59d0f450dd8a04b46debc9837a2484cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,527$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.07 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked No | 68c | 2,317$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.03 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb2…af7bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,015$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 1,700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,647$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.79 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…db49backed No | 65c | 1,592$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 36c | 1,341$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.71 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…eb83backed Yes | 34c | 1,169$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Yes | 32c | 1,164$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.87 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 63c | 1,130$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,101$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…3455backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…e2c1backed Yes | 67c | 539.93$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…8309backed No | 65c | 505.64$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 50c | 392.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 31c | 318.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed No | 79c | 237.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…bd6fbacked Yes | 40c | 189.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 176$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 27c | 169.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 37c | 146$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Yes | 19c | 143.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 12c | 133.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…d1a1backed Yes | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Yes | 14c | 127.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d8…61b1backed Yes | 36c | 124.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 119.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2ad7backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…9e1abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…0102backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…e5b0backed Yes | 12c | 99.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed No | 64c | 85.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked No | 66c | 80.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…fc33backed Yes | 45c | 78.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 73.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6346…48f8backed Yes | 34c | 72.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 28c | 69.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 53c | 58.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…7be7backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…8045backed Yes | 37c | 43.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 40.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 38c | 38.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…00ecbacked No | 73c | 30.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…96ccbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 80c | 22.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…3428backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will knight Win MSI Finals MVPthis page
- Will Bin Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Faker Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Gumayusi Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Kanavi Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Keria Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will ON Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Peyz Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Xun Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPNo won
- Will Zeus Win MSI Finals MVPYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.